{"id":20196,"date":"2025-05-20T10:58:16","date_gmt":"2025-05-20T08:58:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/?p=20196"},"modified":"2025-05-20T11:00:18","modified_gmt":"2025-05-20T09:00:18","slug":"intentions-de-vote-a-lelection-presidentielle-de-2027-mai-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/intentions-de-vote-a-lelection-presidentielle-de-2027-mai-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Intentions de vote \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle de 2027 \u2013 Mai 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Enqu\u00eate r\u00e9alis\u00e9e en ligne le 19 mai 2025,&nbsp;<strong>apr\u00e8s l\u2019\u00e9lection de Bruno Retailleau \u00e0 la pr\u00e9sidence de la formation politique Les R\u00e9publicains<\/strong>. \u00c9chantillon de&nbsp;<strong>1217<\/strong>&nbsp;personnes repr\u00e9sentatif de la population&nbsp; Fran\u00e7aise \u00e2g\u00e9e de 18 ans et plus, dont&nbsp;<strong>1071&nbsp;<\/strong>personnes inscrites sur les listes \u00e9lectorales fran\u00e7aises. M\u00e9thode des quotas et redressement appliqu\u00e9s aux variables suivantes : sexe, \u00e2ge, cat\u00e9gorie socioprofessionnelle, r\u00e9gion et du comportement \u00e9lectoral ant\u00e9rieur de l\u2019interview\u00e9(e).<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Paris, le 20 mai,<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A la suite \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9lection de Bruno Retailleau \u00e0 la pr\u00e9sidence du parti Les R\u00e9publicains, LCI a sollicit\u00e9 Toluna Harris Interactive pour r\u00e9aliser&nbsp;<strong>une enqu\u00eate d\u2019intentions de vote \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Que retenir de cette enqu\u00eate ?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans les 4 hypoth\u00e8ses test\u00e9es, Jordan Bardella (30 et 31%) ou Marine Le Pen arriveraient en t\u00eate (31%) des intentions de vote, devant Edouard Philippe si celui-ci \u00e9tait le candidat du bloc central (21% qu\u2019il soit oppos\u00e9 \u00e0 Jordan Bardella ou Marine Le Pen), et Bruno Retailleau (12% \u00e0 13%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En cas de candidature de Gabriel Attal au centre en revanche, Bruno Retailleau serait en position de se qualifier pour le 2<em>nd<\/em>&nbsp;tour avec 16% \u00e0 17% des intentions de vote pour le nouveau pr\u00e9sident des R\u00e9publicains selon les configurations contre 15% pour le pr\u00e9sident de Renaissance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A gauche (o\u00f9 nous avons syst\u00e9matiquement test\u00e9 la pr\u00e9sence de Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc M\u00e9lenchon, Rapha\u00ebl Glucksmann et Marine Tondelier), Jean-Luc M\u00e9lenchon serait le mieux plac\u00e9 avec 14% \u00e0 15% d\u2019intentions de vote devant Rapha\u00ebl Glucksmann (10% \u00e0 11%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00e9l\u00e9charger le\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Rapport-Toluna-Harris-Interactive-Intentions-de-vote-a-lelection-presidentielle-de-2027-LCI-Mai-2025.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">rapport complet<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Enqu\u00eate r\u00e9alis\u00e9e en ligne le 19 mai 2025,&nbsp;apr\u00e8s l\u2019\u00e9lection de Bruno Retailleau<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":59,"featured_media":20197,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_toluna_hide_sidebar":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[254],"tags":[101],"class_list":["post-20196","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-france-fr-2","tag-poll-2","entry"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20196","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/59"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20196"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20196\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20197"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20196"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20196"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tolunacorporate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20196"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}